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Medgar Evers College School of Business ECON 356: Business & Economic Statistics

Medgar Evers College

School of Business

ECON 356: Business & Economic Statistics II

 

Problem #1

You have data on the Purchasing Power of the US dollar from 1950 to 2005. The data is in the Excel file (US_PRICE_INDEX)

Use the data to recalculate the actual relative prices (PPI and CPI) between 1950 and 2005. The PPI is the Reciprocal of the Purchasing Power Index. The CPI is the Reciprocal of the CPI, beginning in 1950. Create two new columns called the CPI and the PPI. The CPI in 1950 should be 100 or 1.00. The PPI in 1950 should be 100 or 1.00 calculated as B2/$B$2, for example

Prepare a new Table showing the Calculated Price Indexes (Attach as Appendix I to our report)

Plot the chart of PPI and CPI and explain the relative trends in the two price indices

Which Index has risen faster and since what year did one diverge significantly from the other?

Which index has a rising trend? Which index has a declining trend? Alternatively, are the two indexes moving in the same direction? Explain your answer

Problem #2

The manager of Mark Cricket and Company is concerned that the companies profit margin has been declining during that last 20 months. The manager believes that Expenses are outpacing revenues.

Use the data in the attached Excel file (PROFITABILITY) to support or refute the manager’s concern.

In order resolve the issue raised by the manager, you need to plot a time series chart of the Net Profit Margin of the company over the last 20 months.

You should also prepare a table (See Example Below) showing your computation of the Net profit margin of the Mark Cricket Company. Attach your table as Appendix II

Month

Sales

Profit

Net Profit Margin

Jan-05

$ 37,000.00

$4,120.00

11.14%

Feb-05

$ 38,900.00

$4,200.00

10.80%

Mar-05

$ 41,200.00

$3,960.00

9.61%

Apr-05

$ 39,600.00

$4,010.00

10.13%

Your chart must be on a clear background and must be properly labeled, with no lines from the Excel spreadsheet file

The two charts must be cut and pasted on MS-Word and reported together in one document file.

Please do not submit two files. Only one file will be graded

YEAR

PPI

CPI

1950

3.546

4.151

1951

3.247

3.846

1952

3.268

3.765

1953

3.300

3.735

1954

3.289

3.717

1955

3.279

3.732

1956

3.195

3.678

1957

3.077

3.549

1958

3.012

3.457

1959

3.021

3.427

1960

2.994

3.373

1961

2.994

3.340

1962

2.985

3.304

1963

2.994

3.265

1964

2.985

3.220

1965

2.933

3.166

1966

2.841

3.080

1967

2.809

2.993

1968

2.732

2.873

1969

2.632

2.726

1970

2.545

2.574

1971

2.469

2.466

1972

2.392

2.391

1973

2.193

2.251

1974

1.901

2.029

1975

1.718

1.859

1976

1.645

1.757

1977

1.546

1.649

1978

1.433

1.532

1979

1.289

1.380

1980

1.136

1.215

1981

1.041

1.098

1982

1.000

1.035

1983

0.984

1.003

1984

0.964

0.961

1985

0.955

0.928

1986

0.969

0.913

1987

0.949

0.880

1988

0.926

0.846

1989

0.880

0.807

1990

0.839

0.766

1991

0.822

0.734

1992

0.812

0.713

1993

0.802

0.692

1994

0.797

0.675

1995

0.782

0.656

1996

0.762

0.638

1997

0.759

0.623

1998

0.765

0.614

1999

0.752

0.600

2000

0.725

0.581

2001

0.711

0.565

2002

0.720

0.556

2003

0.698

0.544

2004

0.673

0.530

2005

0.642

0.512

Table II

Net Profit Margin

Mark Cricket Company

January 2005-August 2006

Month

Sales

Profit

Jan-05

$37,000.00

$4,120.00

Feb-05

$38,900.00

$4,200.00

Mar-05

$41,200.00

$3,960.00

Apr-05

$39,600.00

$4,010.00

May-05

$40,500.00

$3,950.00

Jun-05

$42,000.00

$3,875.00

Jul-05

$43,500.00

$3,800.00

Aug-05

$41,500.00

$3,910.00

Sep-05

$44,100.00

$3,602.00

Oct-05

$42,800.00

$3,500.00

Nov-05

$43,700.00

$3,680.00

Dec-05

$47,900.00

$3,476.00

Jan-06

$46,790.00

$3,680.00

Feb-06

$49,000.00

$3,367.00

Mar-06

$46,800.00

$3,578.00

Apr-06

$48,680.00

$3,456.00

May-06

$50,100.00

$3,345.00

Jun-06

$46,900.00

$3,672.00

Jul-06

$50,330.00

$3,409.00

Aug-06

$49,890.00

$3,256.00

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Medgar Evers College School of Business ECON 356: Business & Economic Statistics
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